The Political History of Cap and Trade
How an unlikely mix of environmentalists and free-market conservatives hammered out the strategy known as cap-and-trade
- By Richard Conniff
- Smithsonian magazine, August 2009, Subscribe
(Page 2 of 3)
It would be an odd alliance. Gray was a conservative multimillionaire who drove a battered Chevy modified to burn methanol. Dan Dudek, the lead strategist for EDF, was a former academic Krupp once described as either "just plain loony, or the most powerful visionary ever to apply for a job at an environmental group." But the two hit it off—a good thing, given that almost everyone else was against them.
Many Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) staffers mistrusted the new methods; they had had little success with some small-scale experiments in emissions trading, and they worried that proponents were less interested in cleaning up pollution than in doing it cheaply. Congressional subcommittee members looked skeptical when witnesses at hearings tried to explain how there could be a market for something as worthless as emissions. Nervous utility executives worried that buying allowances meant putting their confidence in a piece of paper printed by the government. At the same time, they figured that allowances might trade at $500 to $1,000 a ton, with the program costing them somewhere between $5 billion and $25 billion a year.
Environmentalists, too, were skeptical. Some saw emissions trading as a scheme for polluters to buy their way out of fixing the problem. Joe Goffman, then an EDF lawyer, recalls other environmental advocates seething when EDF argued that emissions trading was just a better solution. Other members of a group called the Clean Air Coalition tried to censure EDF for what Krupp calls "the twofold sin of having talked to the Republican White House and having advanced this heretical idea."
Misunderstandings over how emissions trading could work extended to the White House itself. When the Bush administration first proposed its wording for the legislation, the EDF and EPA staffers who had been working on the bill were shocked to see that the White House had not included a cap. Instead of limiting the amount of emissions, the bill limited only the rate of emissions, and only in the dirtiest power plants. It was "a real stomach-falling-to-the-floor moment," says Nancy Kete, who was then managing the acid rain program for the EPA. She says she realized that "we had been talking past each other for months."
EDF argued that a hard cap on emissions was the only way trading could work in the real world. It wasn't just about doing what was right for the environment; it was basic marketplace economics. Only if the cap got smaller and smaller would it turn allowances into a precious commodity, and not just paper printed by the government. No cap meant no deal, said EDF.
John Sununu, the White House chief of staff, was furious. He said the cap "was going to shut the economy down," Boyden Gray recalls. But the in-house debate "went very, very fast. We didn't have time to fool around with it." President Bush not only accepted the cap, he overruled his advisers' recommendation of an eight million-ton cut in annual acid rain emissions in favor of the ten million-ton cut advocated by environmentalists. According to William Reilly, then EPA administrator, Bush wanted to soothe Canada's bruised feelings. But others say the White House was full of sports fans, and in basketball you aren't a player unless you score in double digits. Ten million tons just sounded better.
Near the end of the intramural debate over the policy, one critical change took place. The EPA's previous experiments with emissions trading had faltered because they relied on a complicated system of permits and credits requiring frequent regulatory intervention. Sometime in the spring of 1989, a career EPA policy maker named Brian McLean proposed letting the market operate on its own. Get rid of all that bureaucratic apparatus, he suggested. Just measure emissions rigorously, with a device mounted on the back end of every power plant, and then make sure emissions numbers match up with allowances at the end of the year. It would be simple and provide unprecedented accountability. But it would also "radically disempower the regulators," says EDF's Joe Goffman, "and for McLean to come up with that idea and become a champion for it was heroic." Emissions trading became law as part of the Clean Air Act of 1990.
Oddly, the business community was the last holdout against the marketplace approach. Boyden Gray's hiking partner John Henry became a broker of emissions allowances and spent 18 months struggling to get utility executives to make the first purchase. Initially it was like a church dance, another broker observed at the time, "with the boys on one side and the girls on another. Sooner or later, somebody's going to walk into the middle." But the utility types kept fretting about the risk. Finally, Henry phoned Gray at the White House and wondered aloud if it might be possible to order the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), a federally owned electricity provider, to start buying allowances to compensate for emissions from its coal-fired power plants. In May 1992, the TVA did the first deal at $250 a ton, and the market took off.
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Additional Sources
Crossing the Aisle to Cleaner Air by Kathy McCauley et al., University of Pittsburgh Institute of Politics, 1988









Comments (21)
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Hopefully people will solve this situation within the nearest possible time!
Posted by admission essay on December 13,2010 | 03:08 AM
John,
Without cap and trade, polluting companies had no motivation to spend money on a multi-million dollar scrubber. Why spend money on something to prevent pollution when you could just pollute for free? There was no incentive for companies to spend money on scrubbers. However, when cap and trade came into effect and put a limit on emissions, it effectively forced companies to consider these expensive scrubbers as an alternative to fines for not having enough allowances. You don't need to buy allowances for prevented emissions, so in the long run, scrubbers became profitable. This also allowed for social benefit, as the article stated, because environmental quality increased. It doesn't fix all the lakes in New York and Canada that got sterilized by sulfuric acid though... :(
Posted by Carl on March 17,2010 | 11:02 AM
Why use a picture of steam to illustrate an article about alleged carbon emission pollution? The cooling of hot water doesn't emit carbon dioxide or any other pollutant, and using a picture of it is fraudulent.
Posted by Mike Miller on March 17,2010 | 10:17 AM
Big difference... utilities had a *solution* to acid rain - scrubbers. And how much effect did the delay of said legislation allow the technology to catch-up to the desired outcome? Maybe we would be better served by pouring money into solutions similar to scrubbers now?
Posted by John on March 16,2010 | 04:45 PM
The United Nations predicts the world population to peak around 2050 and then decline. For all of you Malthusians out there, you must know that the more advanced countries 1. Use more resources than less advanced countries. 2. The more advanced countries have a declining population. This seems to be a solution in itself.
Posted by David Charlton on March 16,2010 | 02:39 PM
How can Smithsonian waste precious resources on a lengthy history of a subject that has already gone down as one of Paul Feyerabend's Scientific Fables? Please stop with the moralizing of this pseudo-science catastrophe and return to a humbler, yet infinitely more useful approach.
Posted by Ms Anthrope on March 16,2010 | 11:10 AM
"In 1968, while studying pollution control in the Great Lakes, University of Toronto economist John Dales hit on a way for the costs to be paid with minimal government intervention, by using tradable permits or allowances."
Tom Crocker, now at the University of Wyoming, should be credited alongside Mr. Dales. His work was published two years earlier. Is it possible to correct this?
Crocker, T. D. (1966). The Structuring of Atmospheric Pollution Control Systems. The Economics of Air Pollution. H. Wolozin. New York, W. W.Norton & Co.: 61-86.
Posted by Chris on December 18,2009 | 07:47 PM
May I request the citation for the Journal of Environmental Management that is quoted in this article (authors, title, publication month and year etc). Thank you.
Posted by Goel Garcia on November 23,2009 | 11:37 PM
I don’t think anyone would disagree that cleaning up the environment is anything but a noble cause but we have to take into consideration the total effect of our decisions. Increasing the price of a resource, which we have become completely dependent on, such as fossil fuels, may not result in our desired outcome. If the increase of price causes a decrease in GDP it would mean less tax dollars to fund research for alternative energy. Shouldn't we instead be investing in what we know? The world’s population is increasing and its forest life is decreasing. Human beings emit carbon dioxide and trees convert it back. As the population increases, so does the need for homes which are predominately made of wood. Human beings need cars for transportation and electricity for their houses which also emit carbon. It seems to me that the largest factor is population. Why can’t we promote stabilizing the planets population and increase the plant life all the while continuing to search for a more environment friendly resource of energy.
Posted by Blake on November 12,2009 | 08:36 AM
great article - thanks for this history
Posted by sara on October 20,2009 | 02:13 PM
Chris, are you a scientist? Do you realize that the scientific community has reached consensus that humans are speeding up the warming of our planet? I'm wondering how you feel justified to make such conclusions as calling the study of anthropogenically induced climate change "pseudo science." While warming and cooling cycles are a natural phenomenon, we know that CO2 traps heat, that CO2 levels have been significantly correlated with the Earth's average temp throughout history, and that humans are putting massive amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere at ever greater rates. Human induced climate change is real and it's something that needs to be addressed yesterday. Reducing meat consumption and especially that of beef is an awesome way for people to cut down their carbon footprint and environmental footprint in general. Still, we need to start charging the polluters who are destroying our planet.
Posted by Brendan Appold on October 17,2009 | 03:50 PM
Dear Editor,
I must take issue with the comparison of sulfur dioxide emissions and carbon dioxide emissions. Whereas the cause and effect of sulfur dioxide and acid rain is scientifically provable, manmade global warming caused by manmade carbon dioxide emissions is psuedo-science, or more kindly, merely a philosophy.
Living as I do a few miles from Kings Canyon National Park, I see regularly the results of global warming: the absence of 3,000 ft. of glacial ice. Global warming has, and perhaps will again occur. However, to think our puny efforts to curb carbon dioxide can stop or even slow down the forces that emptied Kings Canyon of ice or foolhardy.
On the other hand, eliminating air pollution is a noble cause; but to do the right thing for the wrong reason is ignorance. Cap and trade to slow down carbon emissions from factories is a drop in the bucket when it comes to curbing this otherwise essential element of Earth's atmosphere - and perhaps a crippling economic program with no positive result. If those who are truly interested in the greening of the planet, halting pollution of the oceans and deforestation of the continents is by far the greater cause.
More carbon dioxide is created - or failed to be converted into oxygen - by the cattle industry (which deforests huge tracts of 3rd world land to graze) than all factories combined. Gigantic herds of beef cattle and pigs create vast amounts of "greenhouse" gases. So if you're truly serious about curbing carbon emissions, become a vegetarian. Ah - but meat: this is America's sacred cow ( albeit a dead one)!
Chris Glenn
Badger California
Posted by Christopher Glenn on October 1,2009 | 07:26 PM
I have noticed from time to time that Smithsonian handles topics of political interest with an even hand. The Blue Sky article however betrayed a pronounced bias by labeling power plant emissions as “global warming emissions.” This implies a link between the carbon dioxide emitted by power plants and global temperature. While this is a strong – almost religious- belief of many, including some scientists, it is not a fact. The earth’s surface temperature has been cooling for the last ten years. There is some evidence, based on ice and subsea sediment cores, that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide lag warming trends – they are an effect of warming, not its cause. Parts of the arctic do seem to be warming, although this is probably due to changes in ocean currents, but other parts of the globe seem to be cooling. Attributing any of this to anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions is based on conjecture and overparameterized models, not observational science.
Dr. Robert A. Perkins, PE
Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Alaska Fairbanks
Posted by Robert A. Perkins on August 19,2009 | 12:53 PM
if you have your advanced level certificate and you want to study history what are the various branches in history that are being studied there
Posted by brian on August 17,2009 | 12:13 AM
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