The Political History of Cap and Trade
How an unlikely mix of environmentalists and free-market conservatives hammered out the strategy known as cap-and-trade
- By Richard Conniff
- Smithsonian magazine, August 2009, Subscribe
John B. Henry was hiking in Maine's Acadia National Park one August in the 1980s when he first heard his friend C. Boyden Gray talk about cleaning up the environment by letting people buy and sell the right to pollute. Gray, a tall, lanky heir to a tobacco fortune, was then working as a lawyer in the Reagan White House, where environmental ideas were only slightly more popular than godless Communism. "I thought he was smoking dope," recalls Henry, a Washington, D.C. entrepreneur. But if the system Gray had in mind now looks like a politically acceptable way to slow climate change—an approach being hotly debated in Congress—you could say that it got its start on the global stage on that hike up Acadia's Cadillac Mountain.
People now call that system "cap-and-trade." But back then the term of art was "emissions trading," though some people called it "morally bankrupt" or even "a license to kill." For a strange alliance of free-market Republicans and renegade environmentalists, it represented a novel approach to cleaning up the world—by working with human nature instead of against it.
Despite powerful resistance, these allies got the system adopted as national law in 1990, to control the power-plant pollutants that cause acid rain. With the help of federal bureaucrats willing to violate the cardinal rule of bureaucracy—by surrendering regulatory power to the marketplace—emissions trading would become one of the most spectacular success stories in the history of the green movement. Congress is now considering whether to expand the system to cover the carbon dioxide emissions implicated in climate change—a move that would touch the lives of almost every American. So it's worth looking back at how such a radical idea first got translated into action, and what made it work.
The problem in the 1980s was that American power plants were sending up vast clouds of sulfur dioxide, which was falling back to earth in the form of acid rain, damaging lakes, forests and buildings across eastern Canada and the United States. The squabble about how to fix this problem had dragged on for years. Most environmentalists were pushing a "command-and-control" approach, with federal officials requiring utilities to install scrubbers capable of removing the sulfur dioxide from power-plant exhausts. The utility companies countered that the cost of such an approach would send them back to the Dark Ages. By the end of the Reagan administration, Congress had put forward and slapped down 70 different acid rain bills, and frustration ran so deep that Canada's prime minister bleakly joked about declaring war on the United States.
At about the same time, the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) had begun to question its own approach to cleaning up pollution, summed up in its unofficial motto: "Sue the bastards." During the early years of command-and-control environmental regulation, EDF had also noticed something fundamental about human nature, which is that people hate being told what to do. So a few iconoclasts in the group had started to flirt with marketplace solutions: give people a chance to turn a profit by being smarter than the next person, they reasoned, and they would achieve things that no command-and-control bureaucrat would ever suggest.
The theory had been brewing for decades, beginning with early 20th-century British economist Arthur Cecil Pigou. He argued that transactions can have effects that don't show up in the price of a product. A careless manufacturer spewing noxious chemicals into the air, for instance, did not have to pay when the paint peeled off houses downwind—and neither did the consumer of the resulting product. Pigou proposed making the manufacturer and customer foot the bill for these unacknowledged costs—"internalizing the externalities," in the cryptic language of the dismal science. But nobody much liked Pigou's means of doing it, by having regulators impose taxes and fees. In 1968, while studying pollution control in the Great Lakes, University of Toronto economist John Dales hit on a way for the costs to be paid with minimal government intervention, by using tradable permits or allowances.
The basic premise of cap-and-trade is that government doesn't tell polluters how to clean up their act. Instead, it simply imposes a cap on emissions. Each company starts the year with a certain number of tons allowed—a so-called right to pollute. The company decides how to use its allowance; it might restrict output, or switch to a cleaner fuel, or buy a scrubber to cut emissions. If it doesn't use up its allowance, it might then sell what it no longer needs. Then again, it might have to buy extra allowances on the open market. Each year, the cap ratchets down, and the shrinking pool of allowances gets costlier. As in a game of musical chairs, polluters must scramble to match allowances to emissions.
Getting all this to work in the real world required a leap of faith. The opportunity came with the 1988 election of George H.W. Bush. EDF president Fred Krupp phoned Bush's new White House counsel—Boyden Gray—and suggested that the best way for Bush to make good on his pledge to become the "environmental president" was to fix the acid rain problem, and the best way to do that was by using the new tool of emissions trading. Gray liked the marketplace approach, and even before the Reagan administration expired, he put EDF staffers to work drafting legislation to make it happen. The immediate aim was to break the impasse over acid rain. But global warming had also registered as front-page news for the first time that sweltering summer of 1988; according to Krupp, EDF and the Bush White House both felt from the start that emissions trading would ultimately be the best way to address this much larger challenge.
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Related topics: Congress Global Warming Environmental 1990s Earth
Additional Sources
Crossing the Aisle to Cleaner Air by Kathy McCauley et al., University of Pittsburgh Institute of Politics, 1988









Comments (21)
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Hopefully people will solve this situation within the nearest possible time!
Posted by admission essay on December 13,2010 | 03:08 AM
John,
Without cap and trade, polluting companies had no motivation to spend money on a multi-million dollar scrubber. Why spend money on something to prevent pollution when you could just pollute for free? There was no incentive for companies to spend money on scrubbers. However, when cap and trade came into effect and put a limit on emissions, it effectively forced companies to consider these expensive scrubbers as an alternative to fines for not having enough allowances. You don't need to buy allowances for prevented emissions, so in the long run, scrubbers became profitable. This also allowed for social benefit, as the article stated, because environmental quality increased. It doesn't fix all the lakes in New York and Canada that got sterilized by sulfuric acid though... :(
Posted by Carl on March 17,2010 | 11:02 AM
Why use a picture of steam to illustrate an article about alleged carbon emission pollution? The cooling of hot water doesn't emit carbon dioxide or any other pollutant, and using a picture of it is fraudulent.
Posted by Mike Miller on March 17,2010 | 10:17 AM
Big difference... utilities had a *solution* to acid rain - scrubbers. And how much effect did the delay of said legislation allow the technology to catch-up to the desired outcome? Maybe we would be better served by pouring money into solutions similar to scrubbers now?
Posted by John on March 16,2010 | 04:45 PM
The United Nations predicts the world population to peak around 2050 and then decline. For all of you Malthusians out there, you must know that the more advanced countries 1. Use more resources than less advanced countries. 2. The more advanced countries have a declining population. This seems to be a solution in itself.
Posted by David Charlton on March 16,2010 | 02:39 PM
How can Smithsonian waste precious resources on a lengthy history of a subject that has already gone down as one of Paul Feyerabend's Scientific Fables? Please stop with the moralizing of this pseudo-science catastrophe and return to a humbler, yet infinitely more useful approach.
Posted by Ms Anthrope on March 16,2010 | 11:10 AM
"In 1968, while studying pollution control in the Great Lakes, University of Toronto economist John Dales hit on a way for the costs to be paid with minimal government intervention, by using tradable permits or allowances."
Tom Crocker, now at the University of Wyoming, should be credited alongside Mr. Dales. His work was published two years earlier. Is it possible to correct this?
Crocker, T. D. (1966). The Structuring of Atmospheric Pollution Control Systems. The Economics of Air Pollution. H. Wolozin. New York, W. W.Norton & Co.: 61-86.
Posted by Chris on December 18,2009 | 07:47 PM
May I request the citation for the Journal of Environmental Management that is quoted in this article (authors, title, publication month and year etc). Thank you.
Posted by Goel Garcia on November 23,2009 | 11:37 PM
I don’t think anyone would disagree that cleaning up the environment is anything but a noble cause but we have to take into consideration the total effect of our decisions. Increasing the price of a resource, which we have become completely dependent on, such as fossil fuels, may not result in our desired outcome. If the increase of price causes a decrease in GDP it would mean less tax dollars to fund research for alternative energy. Shouldn't we instead be investing in what we know? The world’s population is increasing and its forest life is decreasing. Human beings emit carbon dioxide and trees convert it back. As the population increases, so does the need for homes which are predominately made of wood. Human beings need cars for transportation and electricity for their houses which also emit carbon. It seems to me that the largest factor is population. Why can’t we promote stabilizing the planets population and increase the plant life all the while continuing to search for a more environment friendly resource of energy.
Posted by Blake on November 12,2009 | 08:36 AM
great article - thanks for this history
Posted by sara on October 20,2009 | 02:13 PM
Chris, are you a scientist? Do you realize that the scientific community has reached consensus that humans are speeding up the warming of our planet? I'm wondering how you feel justified to make such conclusions as calling the study of anthropogenically induced climate change "pseudo science." While warming and cooling cycles are a natural phenomenon, we know that CO2 traps heat, that CO2 levels have been significantly correlated with the Earth's average temp throughout history, and that humans are putting massive amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere at ever greater rates. Human induced climate change is real and it's something that needs to be addressed yesterday. Reducing meat consumption and especially that of beef is an awesome way for people to cut down their carbon footprint and environmental footprint in general. Still, we need to start charging the polluters who are destroying our planet.
Posted by Brendan Appold on October 17,2009 | 03:50 PM
Dear Editor,
I must take issue with the comparison of sulfur dioxide emissions and carbon dioxide emissions. Whereas the cause and effect of sulfur dioxide and acid rain is scientifically provable, manmade global warming caused by manmade carbon dioxide emissions is psuedo-science, or more kindly, merely a philosophy.
Living as I do a few miles from Kings Canyon National Park, I see regularly the results of global warming: the absence of 3,000 ft. of glacial ice. Global warming has, and perhaps will again occur. However, to think our puny efforts to curb carbon dioxide can stop or even slow down the forces that emptied Kings Canyon of ice or foolhardy.
On the other hand, eliminating air pollution is a noble cause; but to do the right thing for the wrong reason is ignorance. Cap and trade to slow down carbon emissions from factories is a drop in the bucket when it comes to curbing this otherwise essential element of Earth's atmosphere - and perhaps a crippling economic program with no positive result. If those who are truly interested in the greening of the planet, halting pollution of the oceans and deforestation of the continents is by far the greater cause.
More carbon dioxide is created - or failed to be converted into oxygen - by the cattle industry (which deforests huge tracts of 3rd world land to graze) than all factories combined. Gigantic herds of beef cattle and pigs create vast amounts of "greenhouse" gases. So if you're truly serious about curbing carbon emissions, become a vegetarian. Ah - but meat: this is America's sacred cow ( albeit a dead one)!
Chris Glenn
Badger California
Posted by Christopher Glenn on October 1,2009 | 07:26 PM
I have noticed from time to time that Smithsonian handles topics of political interest with an even hand. The Blue Sky article however betrayed a pronounced bias by labeling power plant emissions as “global warming emissions.” This implies a link between the carbon dioxide emitted by power plants and global temperature. While this is a strong – almost religious- belief of many, including some scientists, it is not a fact. The earth’s surface temperature has been cooling for the last ten years. There is some evidence, based on ice and subsea sediment cores, that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide lag warming trends – they are an effect of warming, not its cause. Parts of the arctic do seem to be warming, although this is probably due to changes in ocean currents, but other parts of the globe seem to be cooling. Attributing any of this to anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions is based on conjecture and overparameterized models, not observational science.
Dr. Robert A. Perkins, PE
Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Alaska Fairbanks
Posted by Robert A. Perkins on August 19,2009 | 12:53 PM
if you have your advanced level certificate and you want to study history what are the various branches in history that are being studied there
Posted by brian on August 17,2009 | 12:13 AM
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