Who's Fueling Whom?
Why the biofuels movement could run out of gas
- By Richard Conniff
- Smithsonian magazine, November 2007, Subscribe
(Page 2 of 4)
• With a little planning, proponents say, biofuels could give us not just energy but wildlife too. Switchgrass and other potential feedstocks provide good habitat for birds and other animals between harvests.
All this, and in the minds of people like Pete Bethune, we get to keep our muscle boats too.
So what's the hitch? Partly it's that bit about doing a little planning. The move to biofuels thus far looks more like a stampede than a considered program to wean ourselves from fossil fuels. Critics in the financial community have used words like "gold rush" and even the dreaded "bubble," fretting that "biofool" investors are putting too much money into new refineries, which could go bust as markets and subsidies shift or as technologies and feedstocks become obsolete.
Betting the farm on biofuels has become commonplace: this year alone American farmers planted an additional 15 million acres in corn, and they were expecting one of the largest harvests in history. The share of the corn crop going into ethanol is also increasing pell-mell, from about 5 percent ten years ago to 20 percent in 2006, with the likelihood that it could go to 40 percent in the next few years.
Not surprisingly, the price of corn doubled over the last two years. This past January, angry consumers took to the streets in Mexico City to protest the resulting surge in the price of tortillas, a staple food. In China, rising feed costs boosted pork prices 29 percent, prompting the government to back off its plan to produce more biofuels. Even titans of agribusiness worried out loud that we might be putting fuel for our cars ahead of food for our bellies.
The chief executive at Tyson Foods said the poultry producer was spending an extra $300 million on feed this year and warned of food-price shocks rippling through the market. Cargill's chief predicted that reallocation of farmland due to biofuel incentives could combine with bad weather to cause food shortages around the world. Cattle ranchers and environmentalists, unlikely bedfellows, both called for rethinking those incentives.
Not that anybody seems to have given them much thought in the first place. One problem with current subsidies is that they act as if all biofuels were created equal—while some may actually be worse for the environment than conventional gasoline. For instance, corn ethanol on average produces about 13 percent less greenhouse gas emissions than gasoline, according to Daniel Kammen, a public policy professor at the University of California at Berkeley. But when ethanol refineries burn coal to provide heat for fermentation, emissions are up to 20 percent worse for the environment than gasoline. Yet that ethanol still earns the full subsidy.
In the United States, state and federal biofuel subsidies cost about $500 for every metric ton of greenhouse gas emissions they avoid, according to a study by the Global Subsidies Initiative, an environmentally oriented nonprofit. We could pay somebody else to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, via the European carbon emissions trading market, for about $28 a ton.
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Comments (26)
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Yeah, we need new energy sources... However, making fuel out of food sources (soy) is a very, very bad idea.
Posted by steve on March 16,2010 | 07:14 PM
Just a quick note of correction. The federal subsidy for ethanol is now 45 cts/gal, not 51 cts/gal as was mentioned in the article, and it goes to blenders, not producers.
Posted by Robert Gough on March 16,2010 | 05:12 PM
A couple of points the author conveniently left out.
--> Brazilian sugarcane gives an 8:1 return on energy investment. Brazil gets half of the fuel from ethanol, while using 1.5% of their arable land to do so.
--> Corn based ethanol is much better than the author points out, for the following simple reason. Corn in this country is often feed to cows. When you turn corn into ethanol, you get distillers grain as a by-product, which can also be fed to cows. In fact, distillers grain is a better feed product for cows than the original corn.
Finally, the author seems to falling into the "full substitution" fallacy of alternative fuels. It is not required that gasoline be fully replaced by biofuels. The goal is rather fuel diversity - replace 15% of gasoline with biofuels, another 15% with electrification, another 10% with natural gas, another 10% with greater vehicle efficiency. The combined effect of all these efforts will collectively protect the American consumer from dramatic shifts in oil prices, while also providing domestic jobs.
Posted by pjcpjc on March 16,2010 | 02:50 PM
"Of course, biofuels also produce carbon dioxide, which is the major cause of global warming."
This statement, so often repeated, is a lie. CO2 output has gone up 40% in the last 10 years, yet the global temperatures are in decline. CO2 levels rise when the planet warms, due to increased vegetation, and release from the oceans. CO2 levels are an effect, not a cause of global warming. And, CO2 is a very poor GHG. Stopping all CO2 emissions would decrease the concentration ~10 ppm, which would have no measurable effect on temperature (Christy,Spencer @ UAH).
Posted by Nick on March 16,2010 | 01:45 PM
Some facts that I have noticed:
My car, which is a very common one, gets half the mileage out of gasoline mixed with ethanol. It also smokes when the ethanol mixture is used. The average mileage I obtained from the gas ethanol mixture was 17 miles on each gallon. I also had to clean the throttle plate and injectors every 3000 miles (every oil change). I have since switched to gasoline and have seen an increase in mileage to about 27 miles per gallon. My question is, how is Ethanol, one of the "bio products" supposed to be better than regular gasoline when it not only causes more emissions, it also halves the mileage.
My car is in tip top shape and is kept that way. (My family owns an auto repair business) I used the ethanol in a few other vehicles also and got similar results. We also see several vehicles in the shop having major mechanical problems from using the ethanol blend.
The bottom line is, all of these vehicles, once put back on regular gasoline, emitted fewer emissions and got much better mileage. My car doesn't smoke at all anymore. After spending about 50 dollars to clean the ethanol residue out of the fuel system. (at cost, this wold cost much more if you pay a shop to do it.)
Posted by Jesse on March 16,2010 | 09:29 AM
Everyone forgot the paleoground water required for biofuel.
1200 gallons of water per gallon of corn ethonol.
Posted by Sustainability PDX on March 16,2010 | 03:21 AM
Algae has the biggest potential as a source for biofuel.
It can be raised in seawater, and thus doesn't deplete freshwater stocks.
It doesn't need to be created on arable land.
It has the potential to produce far more fuel per acre than any other source.
There are problems to be solved, but they probably aren't insurmountable.
Posted by Catch22 on September 28,2009 | 04:47 PM
Without a lot of time and money spent on additional research the energy crisis could be greatly alleviated by changing lifestyles and still have a lot of wiggle room for enjoyment. The consumers need to reduce the amount of stuff they buy do based on want rather than need especially in all areas that are energy intensive.
A good example is the vehicle they drive. When I am driving my two wheel drive, 30+ MPG car at the speed limit and I am passed by a 10 miles + over the speed limit 4 wheel drive pickup truck or a 4 wheel drive boxcar size SUV with two adults and two children in it that is driven 98% of the time on smooth pavement I get justifiably angry. Another of many examples is children driving cars to school and parents lining up to pick up children; in both cases school buses are available or they ase within a reasonable walking distance in reasonably safe environments. How about drive thru every things? How many of you reading this use them? I've quit! Hey I'm tired and in a hurry too and maybe my shoes aren't shinned but I park and go in anyway. Many times I'm out and gone while the drive-thuers are still waiting.
Pushing consumer subsidized ethanol is not the answer based on many studies and now actual use. Hydro electric is overlooked. After many decades a dam on the Mississippi at Alton IL was tapped for electricity and I was told that it now supplies electricity for one hundred thousand homes.
Posted by Norman Reindl on September 20,2009 | 11:07 AM
As pointed out by many of the other reviewers of this article, there are many fundimental problems with ethanol that are not discussed in this article. One, you have to use fossil fuels to make ethanol. Two, by simple chemical law, the law of conservation of matter, you cannot just "get rid" of carbon. When you make these plants into ethanol, the carbon is trapped inside also, so it still burns dirty and puts out just as much as it took in while it was alive. Three, there are millions of people that are dieing of starvation this week, and what do we use our food for, we burn it, that makes perfect sense.
Posted by phear monger on November 28,2008 | 12:25 PM
when I read the title who's fueling whom i was hoping this article would mention the often looked over point of ethanol. Ethanol is the newest framed solution to make american feel cozy. It takes a lot of petrochemical fertilization to produce corn and ethanol is the dumbest alternative since it takes a calorie of petroleum to produce a calorie of ethanol, but now it takes up space and drives up food costs, while lowering our surplus that could otherwise be given to countries that need it instead of powering our lifestyles. I forget who said it while accepting his nobel prize for technology of food but he said his technology was just going to feed the problem instead of mitigating the problem of population (the two are directly related). Has anyone seen the price of cereal go up. THIS CROP/FUEL IS DIRECTLY AFFECTED BY OIL, lets see a sustainable breadbasket where oxen till the earth, better yet lets not till and have sustainable farms that exist in harmony. DOWN WITH MONOCULTURE.
Posted by tomlyle on March 19,2008 | 12:23 AM
Check out butanol from switchgrass.Ethanol has 75% of the energy equivalent of gasoline while butanol is almost equivalent.
Posted by Philip Bernstein on December 22,2007 | 07:29 AM
I see Hawaiin Electric's name mentioned How much geothermal heat does it use for power production?
Posted by lionel on December 14,2007 | 08:19 PM
Yes, both ethanol from corn and biodiesel from soybeans or palm oil are not viable long term solutions. However, algae has been researched for over 50 years and there are probably a dozen US universities doing advanced research on algae strain optimization. Yields of biofuels are 30-80 gallons per acres of soy or corn, but approximately 2000 gallons per acre of pond algae. Thus, instead of needing billions of acres under cultivation, and consuming vast quantities of water, we can produce vastly more feedstock with 1/100 of the irrigation water. Now, what is good about the current growth of biodiesel plants is that many are multiple feedstock capable and will be able to switch, more or less easily, to using algae as a primary source. Stand by, this will happen sooner than you think, as these 2nd generation feedstocks become profitable.
Posted by Michael Sarin on December 14,2007 | 06:32 PM
Very little energy seems to be being expended looking at alternative vehicle design. The average car weighs some 2000lbs or more, and carries an average 500lbs payload. I can't see why it would be impossible to design a 500lbs car that would carry a 500lbs payload using a small IC engine. Motorcycles and light aircraft already do this. This could reduce fuel use by 75% right out front. The big problem of course is little cars getting wasted by big cars.
Posted by Hunt Johnsen on December 10,2007 | 10:28 AM
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