Extreme Persistence
Madeleine and Thomas Nash braved high altitudes and frigid temperatures for "Chronicling the Ice"
- By Amy Crawford
- Smithsonian.com, July 01, 2007, Subscribe
(Page 3 of 3)
Thomas: This was a wonderful adventure. I will always remember the shy, yet welcoming faces of the Tibetans and the prayer flags at every pass as we went deeper and deeper into the remote western regions on the five-day drive.
Madeleine, as someone who knows more about weather and climate than most people, do you think you worry about climate change more?
Madeleine: No doubt I do. And what worries me most is how limited our understanding of the climate system still is. But what we do know is highly disturbing: the climate system is non-linear, which is a way of saying that it is subject to sudden reorganizations once critical thresholds are crossed. Just where these critical thresholds lie we don't yet know. All we can hope is that the experiment we've launched, using our planet as the guinea pig, won't turn out too badly.
Are you hopeful that we will be able to slow down climate change, or do you think we've already done too much damage?
Madeleine: I think that slowing down climate change—the part of climate change that is due to human activities—is the only option we have. And I think that human societies are beginning to move in that direction. My question is whether they will be able to move fast enough. The speed at which ice is now disappearing from large sectors of the world suggests that there may not be a whole lot of time for dawdling. This is how I once expressed it: All anyone can say is that two extremely large and complex systems—the climate system and the human system—seem headed for confrontation, and more than anything else, it is the uncertainty of how each of these systems is likely to react to the other that makes the buildup of greenhouse gases so troubling.
And yet the climate system is fundamentally deterministic. In principle, the human system is more flexible; it has the capacity to respond to change, even the prospect of change in ways that are imaginative and innovative. The dramatic tension in the confrontation that looms in the twenty-first century emanates from that essential difference.
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Comments (1)
Very interesting! Have just read M.Nash's book "El Nino". This is a must read for everyone to begin at a point of starting to understand climate.
Posted by Olga Karstvo on September 11,2009 | 05:02 AM