What Lies Ahead for 3-D Printing?
The new technology promises a factory in every home—and a whole lot more
- By Elizabeth Royte
- Smithsonian magazine, May 2013, Subscribe
(Page 4 of 4)
From organs to O-rings, 3-D printing has prognosticators buzzing over its transformative, and even disruptive, potential. If the technology fulfills the predictions of its most ardent cheerleaders, supply lines that connect mass manufacturers in cheap labor markets with consumers in the developed world will be shortened. Mass manufacturing in low-wage countries will decline and markets will be re-localized. With a lower bar between innovating and producing, thousands of new businesses are expected to blossom.
But the growth of this technology raises a thicket of legal questions. Who is liable if a home-printed design fails to perform? Who owns the intellectual property of codes and the objects they produce? (Physical objects can be trademarked and patented, and digital 3-D files can be copyrighted, but in the Maker universe this is considered uncool and counterproductive to innovation.) Three-D printing is bound to encourage counterfeiting, with serious consequences for brand owners. Disney, whose characters are widely copied by Makers, is so far ignoring infringements, but that may change.
Then there are security concerns. Using blueprints downloaded from the Internet, people already have begun printing gun parts. Hackers have stolen personal banking information after creating a widget that fits inside an ATM. As ever, tools can be used for good as easily as for ill. It will be up to myriad government agencies to address the wide spectrum of legal and criminal concerns.
And all new technology produces winners and losers. Additive manufacturing will create new industries and new jobs. But it may also displace skilled craftspeople, artisans and designers who work with raw materials, just as Amazon displaced bookstores, and desktop printers eviscerated mom and pop copy shops. Thanks to the Internet, we are all writers, photographers, filmmakers, publishers and publicists. Soon, we may all be Makers, too. Those who rue that day can take some comfort, for now, in 3-D printing’s weaknesses: The printers can produce objects only as big as their build platforms; and most desktop machines print only in one or two materials, which are fragile compared with those produced by the high-end industrial machines. And, unlike industrial printers, desktop models lack standardization, so different machines using the same design files won’t necessarily produce identical objects. (The National Institute of Standards and Technology is currently helping to develop standards for the industry.)
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Throughout my travels in 3-D, cognitive dissonance stalked me. One can intuitively grasp that additive manufacturing has a smaller resource footprint than subtractive manufacturing, in which designs are chipped or cut away from larger blocks of material. Shorter supply chains have smaller carbon footprints, and printing on demand could reduce the waste of closeouts, overstocks and other products that never get bought. But the feedstock of 3-D printers—whether plastics or gypsum powders or metals—still needs to travel the world. Moreover, ABS plastic, the principle feedstock of desktop printers, is derived from oil or gas, which are both finite, polluting resources. (PLA, another common feedstock, is made from corn, which also has a sizable environmental footprint since it requires fertilizer, pesticides and irrigation.) 3D Systems’ Cathy Lewis stresses the recyclability of ABS and PLA, but most communities don’t accept or collect these materials for processing, and I doubt that many customers are likely to mail their unwanted Cube creations to South Carolina for re-milling.
More important, I worry that the ease and relative affordability of making niche or customized products—with the exception of medical and some industrial applications—is just as likely to speed their disposal: Easy come, easy go. When new sneaker designs move from idea to retail shelves in weeks instead of months, design fatigue may set in sooner as well. The result? Ever more sneakers on the trash heap of fashion obsolescence, and a devaluing of the creativity that went into producing them.
While 3-D printing offers the promise of democratizing design, it does so by letting Makers off the intellectual hook as they bypass deep knowledge of materials and process. As Chris Anderson, the former editor of Wired Magazine, writes in his book Makers: The New Industrial Revolution, “You don’t need to know how the machines do their work, or how to optimize their toolpaths. Software figures all that out.” That might not bode well for the future. Designing and producing only on computers, says Scott Francisco, an architectural theorist and designer who teaches at Parsons The New School for Design in New York, has the potential “to drown human learning, creative skills and even basic productivity with its information and numerical-technical approach to problem solving.” Sure, the machines themselves are innovative, but they reduce the need for designers to work face to face with collaborators—crafting and refining, one slow iteration after another. The next generation of designers, Francisco fears, will know little about how real materials look, feel and interact with each other, leaving people ill-prepared to be innovators in their own right.
Such worries may be premature, for 3-D printing has yet to reach either its “killer app” moment—which makes it as ubiquitous as home computers—or its “rubber ducky” moment, when it supplants mass manufacturing. Traditional methods of production in low-wage countries are still far faster and cheaper than additive manufacturing when large numbers of parts are needed, says Innovation Investment Journal’s Peter Friedman. And while Geomagic co-founder and CEO Ping Fu has predicted that “mass customization” will replace mass production, even matching it in costs, one can’t help feeling, gazing at a set of metal mixing bowls (to name just one household item), that customization isn’t always called for.
Yes, additive manufacturing is being used to create prosthetics and aircraft components—products that epitomize the technology’s sweet spot of low volume and high complexity. But for the vast majority of people, 3-D printing may remain an upstream, out-of-sight industrial process. Only the technorati, with cash to burn and a burning desire to Make, are likely to pursue desktop printers. Anyone else compelled to own a 3-D-printed skull ring will find easy satisfaction perusing the many on offer through print bureaus. Some of them are even anatomically correct.
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Comments (3)
This technology is about to explode. Just as others are doing and have done in the past. These devices will become ever more sophisticated and cheaper. When engineering, genetics and bio-mechanics all catch up to each other things are gonna get weird. Imagine tiny printers creating billions of nano-machines with the power to splice genes and build complex organisms? They can become self replicating. Pandora's Box? Will this technology be used for the good of man or to create ever more deadly weapons. The first printed rifle and pistol have been tested... What is next. Is this the new tower of Babel? Soon everyone will have the power to create whatever their mind can conceive of. Wonder what the future holds for us?
Posted by The One on May 9,2013 | 01:02 PM
... and this is where the traditional printing industry is the big loser. As the whole move with 3d printing starts right off at the end-user or end-customer and even non-geeky households directly understand the benefits of printing 3d gadgets or re-creating 3d parts, there is not much room in the market for traditional printing businesses. Even when thinking in an industrial scale - for example when it comes to the production of massive amounts of 3d prints based on metallic substrates, a lot of companies may decide to just hold such a machine in their own facilities. So where does that leave printing companies. Well - they have to explore other new markets to keep the machines running. Another branch that highly benefits from this development surely are the "content providers" aka 3d-modelling artists who create the 3d meshes and online stores to sell them. While the term "3D printing" at this time is mostly used to describe the creation of physical objects, there are indeed other new products that fit the genre and that rely on traditional printing methods. For example, a lot of new non-ditigal advertising formats (e.g. 3D floor decals -> http://www.shapeshiftermedia.com/floorposters/) make use of the 3D-hype as well and are being produced on a large scale. Dear printers - fear not - but adapt and prepare before the 3D printer makes it to the birthday wish list of your own children. Plenty of new opportunities to keep the machines running out there. And while you're at it - GO GREEN ;) best regards Fleur DeCal
Posted by Fleur DeCal on April 29,2013 | 07:48 AM
3-D printers will one day, using stem cells and DNA, Print fully functional humans, complete with computer induced memories, after years of space travel, to distant "new" planets to colonize them.
Posted by oldude on April 25,2013 | 02:27 PM