What Movies Predict for the Next 40 Years
From Back to the Future to the Terminator franchise, Hollywood has many strange and scary ideas of what will happen by 2050
- By Brian Wolly
- Smithsonian.com, June 30, 2010, Subscribe
For a filmmaker, creating a futuristic world is a tricky task, especially if your crystal ball looks just a few years over the horizon. The challenges are varied – from dreaming up technological advancements, ages before their time, to predicting an approaching apocalypse (that also, hopefully, is ages before its time).
Over the course of the next 40 years, many cinematic visions will be compared to the reality of their time. Will they turn out like 2001, with its unfulfilled expectations of an outer-space-focused future, or like The Truman Show, prescient and a clear warning sign of things to come. From summer blockbusters to dystopian allegories to animated adventures, here is a selection of what Hollywood has predicted for the United States and the world from now until 2050:
2015: Released in 1989, Back to the Future Part II played with the space-time continuum as Marty McFly traveled forward to 2015, then back to 1955, then forward again to 1985. Its vision of the future, however, is a smorgasbord of whiz-bang inventions. In the fictional Hill Valley, California, of 2015, you can buy self-drying clothes, self-lacing shoes and drive a flying car. Books do not have dust jackets (but note: there still are books). In earlier drafts of the script, there was a plot line that involved a new form of credit card: your thumb. The most famous invention of 2015, though, is the “hoverboard,” a skateboard that levitates over the ground; at the time of the film’s release, many fans called the production studio asking where they could obtain one. Lastly, the Chicago Cubs finally end their century-plus quest to win the World Series in 2015.
A darker side of 2015 was predicted in Paul Verhoeven’s Robocop (1987). Detroit is in shambles, overtaken by crime and an evil corporation with plans to demolish the decrepit city center. Cops shot by nefarious crime bosses are resurrected as half-man, half-machine law-enforcement cyborgs. Though Detroit has had its share of troubles, will this be the future of policing? In the film’s two sequels that bring us to the close of the decade, the answer is “yes.”
2017-2019: Dystopia reigns in the late 2010s. Adapted from Cormac McCarthy’s novel, The Road (2009) was the bleakest of bleak films. An unnamed Man and Boy roam a post-apocalyptic earth (cause of the devastation unknown), avoiding the last remnants of humanity who are scavenging for any remaining sustenance, including human flesh.
“In the not-too-distant future, wars will no longer exist, but there will be rollerball,” reads the tagline of the 1975 film Rollerball. Forget soccer. In 2018, rollerball is the world’s most popular sport and competitor Jonathan E is its star athlete. Global corporations have ended poverty, cured disease and given society a great sport – except, it is all designed, in the words of John Houseman’s sinister villain, “to demonstrate the futility of individual effort.”
In Blade Runner, Ridley Scott’s 1982 loose adaptation of a Philip K. Dick novel, by 2019, pollution and overpopulation have transformed cities such as Los Angeles into depressing megacities. Replicants – androids with superhuman strength yet visually indistinguishable from humans – are pursued by bounty hunters known as blade runners. Off-world colonies advertise a greater life via flying billboards. Animals are scarce and must be genetically engineered. And, once again, we have flying cars.
2020: A manned voyage to the Red Planet occurred in the near future, according to Brian De Palma’s Mission to Mars. Released in 2000, the film portrays a trip to Mars ending in disaster in 2020 – though the rescue team makes a startling discovery about human origins.
2022: “Nothing runs, nothing works,” said a voiceover in a trailer for Soylent Green (1973). The world survives on rations of the titular food, produced by the behemoth Soylent Corporation. Pollution and overpopulation are again the culprits that have turned the world into a police state. Charlton Heston’s detective Ty Thorn traces a series of unsolved murders to the secret no one has lived to tell: “Soylent Green is people!” Even worse, with the oceans dying, it’s clear that not even Thorn’s discovery can change the course of civilization.
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Comments (8)
this is fun!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by penelope nix on August 14,2010 | 11:40 AM
It may simply be the fact that human beings love horror, doom, war and other such dark dimensions of humanity in their media and entertainment (it sells better), because I could very easily compose a list of the 100 Greatest Accomplishments of Humanity that would have a higher quality experience but people aren't interested.
To exemplify this point: There are more than sufficient negative events in the world to dwell upon, but humans are not satisfied with that. We create our own. I.e., monsters, vampires, ghouls, zombies, devils, demons, aliens and genetic monsters that love the sweet taste of human flesh.
Point being that there is much to experience and feel good about but it has to be looked for diligently.
Posted by Edward A Tomchin on August 6,2010 | 11:43 AM
Shambles is actually a singular word. "...in a shambles"
Posted by Emily on August 2,2010 | 01:56 PM
the mayan's never predicted the end of the world in 2012, why do people keep thinking this?
Posted by matt on August 1,2010 | 07:51 PM
Interesting read, but there's a typo in the paragraph discussing Children of Men. You say "infertility" when you mean "fertility".
Posted by Greg on August 1,2010 | 03:25 PM
@Matt Roswarski
starwars
Posted by sw on August 1,2010 | 03:22 PM
Reading your 40th anniversary edition (I suscribe), called my son to tell him to run get one quick and then got on line to see some more. WOW!! I love this issue. Thank you so much. My son (age 50), just revisited the Smithsonian in DC to relive the good time when He was younger and we would all drive up, do the buildings (Space and American History) our favorites, and eat gaspacho, fried chicken and longhorn cheese on the Mall. Lordy, what good times and what a good place!! Again...THANKS!!
Posted by JoAnn Chabot on July 7,2010 | 05:56 PM
I have seen the majority of these movies. Have read McCathy's "The Road" and "Dies the Fire" by Stirling (which has yet to become a movie)
What bother's me is the consistent theme that the "Golden years" are gone, and that the future is at best bleak if not apocalyptic. No future Renaissance, no Awakening! :0(
I know of only one up lifting story of the future for mankind and it is not about humans.
"Bicentennial man" with Robin Williams was a search for what is good and wholesome about our species.
Are there so few redeemable qualities of mankind, or is the market in films not ready for them.
Posted by Matt Roswarski on July 5,2010 | 04:14 PM